Publication Date

Spring 3-30-2026

Presentation Length

20 minutes

College

Jack C. Massey College of Business

Department

Economics and Finance

Student Level

Graduate

Faculty Mentor

Colin Cannonier

Metadata/Fulltext

Fulltext

Presentation Type

Talk/Oral

Summary

This research analyzes the strategic management of "Social Backlash" risk during the implementation of radical "shock therapy" economic reforms in Argentina. For decades, Argentina served as a cautionary tale of interventionism and hyperinflation; however, the 2023 election of Javier Milei transitioned the nation into a real-world laboratory for Austrian Economic principles. This study examines how the administration navigated the friction of institutional resistance—what F.A. Hayek described as the "security trap"—by prioritizing fiscal responsibility and monetary stabilization.

The analysis leverages 2026 empirical data to demonstrate the efficacy of these reforms. Key findings include a dramatic reduction in annual inflation from 211.4% in 2023 to a projected 16.4% in 2026, a robust 4.0% GDP growth rebound,and a significant drop in poverty from a 53% peak to 31.6%. Furthermore, the study highlights the strategic mitigation of social risk through geopolitical credibility—exemplified by the full $2.5 billion repayment of the US Treasury swap line in January 2026—and a disruptive "Direct Communication" model that maintains a popular mandate. By synthesizing 20th-century theory with 21st-century results, this presentation provides a blueprint for managing the transition from state dependency to a flourishing free-market economy.

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