Belmont University Research Symposium (BURS)

Using Population Data to Predict Crime Rates for Washington State

Publication Date



Sciences and Mathematics, College of


Math and Computer Science, Department of

BURS Faculty Advisor

Daniel C. Biles

Presentation Type

Oral Presentation


Washington State collected data on the number of prison sentences given in each county between 2010 and 2016. Similarly, the US census kept detailed records of available housing, average sentence length, as well as age and race distribution for each county in Washington throughout the same time period.

Using the two data sources, my project develops multiple statistical models for predicting the proportion of prison sentences that will be given in a particular year, giving insight into the patterns attributed to high prison sentencing in some areas.

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